4.56 Copperfield (1) one of five All Stars in the lineup and has the ideal draw. Beaten by Flying Even Bettor last start but that was off his back. Top chance
5.52 Especial (6) form looks mixed but been running out of her class. In a Group 1 two back and up to R100 last time so rates an upset in this
6.23: Bubbled Up (7) up against stablemate Kayla Marie might be a problem but ran strongly in Auckland and set a record in similar race at Methven. Chance
7.23: Ultimate Sniper (4) who wouldn’t rate him a best bet from this gate in this field ? Stablemate probably the one to threaten
7.53: Chinski (7) Two year old trots are never the most predictable. This one is unbeaten in two for Sean McAffrey at Alexandra Park and manners are always a big factor in these sort of races. Tim said last week he didn’t know a lot about the youngster but the trainer knows whats wanted and making a rare trip south
8.53: Funatthebeach (10) Been unlucky last two. Wrong pace the first time and wrong place (as the race turned out) the second. Value each way bet
10.20: Letterkenny Boy (5) Wiped out resuming but had a trip on the float to help and no doubt done plenty this week. Looks hard to beat
12.46: Eliza Mach (1) a drive for Tony Stratford with whom Tim has done well and a filly having her first start. 3rd to race rival Slate in qualifier and 3rd again in Wyndham trial, 3.03.6 for the 2400m though distant both times. 3rd also to Slate in a Workout and has won two of them.
1.21. Delight (13) Another Stratford runner possibly known best to her supporters as “Quondo” after an impressive series of minor placings. 2nd in 1.56.2 last start from the ace draw so may need a bit of luck.
1.56; Depend on Washie (4) a third Stratford runner and a good second over 2200m last time. Two tries at a mile without a result and hasn’t set the world alight but a place hope at least again.
5.03: Benio Ben (5) the 4th Stratford drive. He has run a 1.53.1 mile when third to Mach’s Back at Wyndham late in January. Out of his grade next time then a third to Tartan Robyn last time. That mile time puts him right into this
TIM BRINGS UP 400 IN STYLE
TIM CLOCKED UP HIS 400TH WINNER with a typically assured drive behind BUBBLED UP at Methven on Sunday just a little over 12 years after his first winner, behind the Robert Dunn-trained Easy Armbro at Rangiora in December 2007. As with this summer Tim was in good form in the following 6 weeks or so.
Tim was close to the Dunn family growing up and while Dexter and then John dominated the driving of the team Tim wwas abile to show his promise with his opportunties
In May 2008 he posted his first double, also at Rangiora for trainers Geoff Dunn and Robbie Holmes (Rocket Reign and Christian Fire) finishing the term iwth 14 wins.
Success then built steadily to a peak of 54 wins this season his best to date with plenty of time to go.
His most rewarding financially of course was his time with HAVE FAITH IN ME which pushed his stakes winnings to $1.2million in 2015.
However his first big winner was for Jamie Gameson at Alexandra Park when HERE WE GO AGAIN won the Ladyship Stakes (then Group Two) picking up the $78,000 winner’s cheque. The race was sponsored by Ken Breckon in hjonour of his ill-fated brother Peter and the Breckons race Sunday’s Methven winner.
Here We Go Again and her driver were not well known in the north at the time. She paid $48 and beat the All Stars couple Twist and Twirl and O Baby which probably registered with his future employers at the time.
In 2013 while based in Southland in an attempt to increase his driving opportunities mainly assoaciated with the Adams and Gray stables, Tim catch drove Messini to won the Kindergarten Stakes and not long afterward with All Stars involved in Australia he drove Southwind Arden to win the Cheviot Cup in 4.00.1
The following season he joined All Stars Meticulous being his first winner and he was soon associated with names like Fly Like and Eagle and, memorably, Have Faith in Me who gave him his first Group 1 win in the Sires Stakes at the high end of a stable trifecta-and several more later,
Piccadilly Princess gave him his first Pascoe Northern Oaks and other highlights included big multiple win days on his trips south.
But Tim is no one trick pony. He is a valuable judge of work at Rolleston a steady and cool head under pressure and never one to get carried away .
His family background has played a major role in his professionalism and attitude and with partner Aimee and a young son that balance in his personal life has been valuable on the professional side too,
Two wins at Gore on Saturday herald a big day for Tim potentially at Methven where all four drives are winning chances three of them strong winning chances. An all upper or multi could be the go this time.
Tim is in great form having won 17 races since January 1. He has worked hard and travelled far for the opportunities but that has paid off
BUBBLED UP is first up but well set up with trials and this is a good time to back her. Her paper form doesn’t look as good a some here but remember all those runs were behind G1 winner Kayla Marie or champion filly Princess Tiffany and at her last start was fourth in the Jewels.
MISS BIG is probably Tim’s biggest challenge of the day for she is in a fairly strong field and her chances are best at each way. But she won at this meeting last year so her grass track record is proven and chased Kendra in a 1.55.9 mile rate at Addington last start. That race was run upside down pacewise and is best forgotten. Kendra is likely to be the fave in the Nevele R heat with Bubbled Up.
BRANTLEY is a much stronger chance for the Chmiel stable. While up from maidens he won that one with a leg in the air on the grass at Motukarara and he will be hard to beat again. The last one was his first standing start and he drew right in and still did everything right so will be tough.
OVERARM is another Chmiel runner in the last with a lot to recommend him. He was brave off 10m at Orari and went a big race at Motukarara prior to that being less than 2 len from the winner even though 6th. From 23 starts he has been in the first 3 10 times and his consistency always deserves respect.